Ana María Patrón Piñerez
Predoctoral Research Fellow · Sciences Po Paris

Welcome! I am a Predoctoral Research Fellow at Sciences Po, where I work on difference-in-differences methods at the intersection of econometrics and statistics.

I hold a Master's in Economics and degrees in Economics and Mathematics from Universidad de los Andes. My Master's thesis explored how neural networks can recover counterfactuals of Bayesian Nash equilibria in electricity markets.

Broadly, I am interested in econometric and statistical methods for counterfactual analysis, policy evaluation, and decision-making in applied microeconomic settings.

Interests

  • Causal Inference
  • Counterfactual Policy Evaluation
  • Econometric Methods
  • Machine Learning for Causal Inference
  • Sample-Selection Bias
  • Applied Microeconomics

Background

2026 – Present
Predoctoral Research Fellow in Causal Inference and Econometrics
Sciences Po Paris
Working with Professor Clément de Chaisemartin on the ERC project REALLYCREDIBLE, developing difference-in-differences methods.
2026
Master in Economics
Universidad de los Andes
Thesis: Neural Network Estimation of Counterfactual Bayesian Nash Equilibria in Electricity Markets.
Read Thesis
2023 – 2026
Data Scientist
Quantil Applied Mathematics
Applying mathematical methods and machine learning to build predictive models and address complex industry challenges across multiple sectors.
Summer 2025
Mary Lister Fellow
Imperial College London - University College London
Mary Lister McCammon Summer Research Fellowship
Research on dynamic survival modelling applied to credit default risk, combining multilevel models with time-to-event analysis.
Repository MortgageSurv R Package
Summer 2024
Mitacs Intern
UQAM – Université du Québec à Montréal
Globalink Research Award
Studying fairness in Bayesian race predictions in the context of the insurance sector.
2023
B.S. in Mathematics
Universidad de los Andes
Thesis: Policy evaluation under Markovian noise using the online bootstrap inference algorithm.
Read Thesis
2021
B.A. in Economics
Universidad de los Andes